Carve-out Survey 2020 results
Ability to Execute Complex Transactions Crucial for Acquirers of Carve-Out Assets in 2020
Most important factor for corporate sellers of non-core assets is a buyer’s ability to execute the transaction
- 47% of respondents expect a buyer’s ability to execute the acquisition of a non-core asset to be the most important factor for corporate sellers when choosing a buyer. 1
- 26% of respondents expect that the highest bidder to be the most important factor for corporate sellers when choosing a buyer. 2
Dirk Markus, CEO of AURELIUS, said: “While this trend was recognised before the outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe, the economic damage we will experience as a result of the virus only increases the importance of acquirers’ ability to execute transactions. Even in a benign deal-making environment, corporate carve-outs remain one of the most complex facets of the M&A market, with assets hard to diligence and the operational steps that need to be taken post-acquisition to ensure that assets can function as standalone businesses.”
Tristan Nagler, UK Managing Director of AURELIUS, said: “In recent weeks, the pandemic has forced corporates to focus on safeguarding measures such as securing their balance sheets, accessing governmental relief and operational housekeeping. As isolation measures are eased, the economic damage on corporate liquidity and growth prospects will drive many to carve-out non-core businesses. This will likely result in the carve-out of high performing businesses as well as stressed and distressed assets.
Motivated sellers need to be sure that buyers can execute these often-complex transactions, and particularly that buyers have the sophistication to understand the carve-out’s prospects in a post-pandemic world. In our view, the most likely buyers will be special situations investors who have operated through previous economic cycles and can prove they can master the complexities associated with these carve-out transactions.”
Full report summary:
The size of expected corporate sellers of non-core assets is predicted to increase from small-cap companies to large-cap companies
- A majority of respondents to the survey (34%) expected that companies with a market capitalisation of €1bn-€5bn would be the most likely sellers of non-core assets in 2020.
- This represents an increase of 29% year-on-year versus the findings of 2019’s survey. 3
Good governance named as driver for management teams reviewing their portfolios for the first time
- 72% of respondents to the survey either agree or strongly agree that good management will review portfolios of their assets and divest non-core assets in 2020 to practice good corporate governance.
Shareholder activism remains key driver of corporate carve-out activity in Europe
- 49% of respondents to the survey either agree or strongly agree that activist investor pressure will continue to encourage European corporate divestment activity in 2020
Significant increase in the number of respondents expecting the DACH region to be one of the most active geographies for corporate disposals of non-core assets in 2020
- 67% of respondents to the survey expect the DACH region to be one of the top three regions for the disposal of non-core assets in 2020, compared with 45% of respondents in 2019.
Turn in the credit cycle not expected to have a negative impact on the number of corporate carve-out deals in Europe
- 46% of respondents to the survey expect the volume of divestments of non-core assets by corporates to stay the same in the event of a turn in the credit cycle
For second consecutive year, the three sectors that respondents expected to the most sales of non-core assets in 2020 were Industrials, Retail and Business Services
1 In 2019, 7% of respondents predicted that ability to execute the transaction would be the most important factor for sellers of non-core assets when choosing a buyer.
2 This was viewed as the most important factor in 2019’s survey, with 14% of respondents choosing this. In 2018, 30% of respondents chose this as the most important factor.
3 In 2019, 5% of respondents predicted the most likely sellers of non-core assets would be companies with a market capitalisation of €1bn-€5bn.